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☆ As the Dow nears 40,000, here's what experts say you should do to prepare for a potential pullback
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Spencer Platt | Getty ImagesThe stock market could hit a milestone if the Dow Jones Industrial Average reaches 40,000. However, even as stocks have climbed higher, investors are worried there could be a pullback, financial advisors say. For investors who have gravitated toward cash, certificates of deposit, or bonds, a pullback may be an opportunity to deploy those funds in the market, Kourkafas said. "The stock market is a long-term investment," said Jenkin, who is also a member of CNBC's Financial Advisor Council. That may be done through a fund that reflects global market capitalization, such as the Vanguard Total World Stock ETF.

Persons: Spencer Platt, They're, Christine Benz, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Kourkafas, it's, Ted Jenkin, Jenkin, Joe Biden, Donald Trump —, Louis Barajas, Barajas, Morningstar's Benz, Benz Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Dow Jones, CNBC, Morningstar, CNBC's, Council, Investors, International Private Wealth, CNBC FA Council Locations: New York City, Atlanta, Irvine , California, U.S

☆ Premarket stocks: What ‘Super Tuesday’ means for your portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Welcome to “Super Tuesday.” Today, a whopping 16 states and territories hold primary elections. But stock market analysts say not to fret and to hold tight. Based on annualized returns for the S&P 500, stocks gained an average 13.75% during Trump’s presidency. Election year math: History shows that stocks typically gain during the fourth year of presidential terms. The S&P 500 has gained 6.2% on average during the fourth year of presidential terms since 1932, according to Yardeni Research.

Persons: ’, Edward Jones, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Angelo Kourkafas, ” Kourkafas, Raymond James, Trump, Obama, ”, Simon Hamilton, Barack Obama, “ That’s, it’s, Hamilton, Goldman Sachs, Allison Morrow, Bitcoin, —, Simone McCarthy, Premier Li Qiang, Hong Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, ”, Markets, White House, Congress, CNN, Republicans, Republican, “, Research, Dow Jones, University of Cincinnati, University of Missouri, Securities and Exchange, Bloomberg, Premier, National People’s Congress Locations: New York, Washington, Hamilton, United States, China, Beijing

☆ Stocks just had their best month of the year. Why it happened and who led the way
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The S & P 500 entered Thursday up 8.5% in November, on track for its best month since July 2022. .SPX 1M mountain November is shaping up to be the best month of the year for the S & P 500. Through mid-November, when 94% of S & P 500 companies had reported results, third quarter earnings were tracking about 4.3% above the same time last year, according to FactSet. Top stocks Another important change in November is the stocks leading the way. Of the 10 biggest stocks in the S & P 500, five rose at least 10% in November, including the two largest in Apple and Microsoft .

Persons: John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, It's, it's, Yung, Yu Ma, That's, Santa Claus, Chris Verrone, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Treasury, Federal, PCE, Fed, CNBC, Expedia, Carnival Corp, Generac Holdings, Paramount Global, Insulet Corp, BMO Wealth Management, Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, Energy, OPEC Locations: U.S, Santa

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Investors seek shelter as U.S. stocks grow more turbulent
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A Wall Street sign is pictured outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York, October 28, 2013. Wall Street’s most closely-watched measure of investor nervousness, the Cboe Volatility Index (.VIX), on Friday hit its highest in nearly seven months, as the S&P 500 slid for the week. That has left investors piling into other traditional safe-haven assets such as the dollar and gold, as well as short-term debt. Rising bond yields have dampened risk appetite, raising the cost of capital for companies and offering investment competition to stocks. Geopolitical uncertainties, climbing bond yields and the risk of more losses in stocks means "investors face fresh uncertainties," they wrote.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, “, Jerome Powell, Brent Kochuba, ”, Rick Meckler, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Equity, Treasury, Reuters Graphics, Federal, Microsoft, UBS Global Wealth Management, Swiss, Cherry Lane Investments, UBS, Brent, Thomson Locations: New York, Israel, Cherry Lane Investments .

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 11, 2023. Investors are grappling with the rise in benchmark Treasury yields to 16-year highs after the Fed gave a hawkish longer-term rate outlook. The S&P 500 last week posted its biggest weekly drop since March. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 17.92 points, or 0.41%, to end at 4,337.98 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 59.86 points, or 0.45%, to 13,271.66. Among S&P 500 sectors, energy (.SPNY) led the way.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Chuck Carlson, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Jerome Powell, Austan Goolsbee, Lewis Krauskopf, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Maju Samuel, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Anthropic Energy, Amazon.com, Federal Reserve, Fed, Horizon Investment, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investors, Chicago Fed, CNBC, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Bengaluru

☆ Instant View: Fitch downgrades U.S. foreign currency ratings to 'AA+' from 'AAA'
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +9 min

The downgrade follows a debt ceiling agreement in June that came after months of political brinkmanship and ultimately lifted the government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling. Unless they think that fiscal trajectory suggests risk of a default, which I don't think they say, I don't understand the reason for this." “So I don't think the reaction, it should surprise anyone in the markets because we've been through this before. JACK ABLIN, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, CRESSET WEALTH ADVISORS IN PALM BEACH, FLORIDA"I'm surprised, but I'm not surprised." "It's really the just the troubled negotiations that take place every time we have a debt ceiling or budget negotiation.

Persons: Thomas White, Fitch, STEVEN RICCHIUTO, ” WENDY EDELBERG, I'm, JASON WARE, Fiitch, MICHAEL O’ROURKE, “, ” BERNARD BAUMOHL, Poor’s, ” MICHAEL SCHULMAN, ANGELO KOURKAFAS, EDWARD JONES, ”, MICHAEL K, FARR, That’s, ” KEITH LERNER, ” “ It’s, ERIC WINOGRAD, ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN, QUINCY KROSBY, doesn't, JACK ABLIN, it's Organizations: REUTERS, United, AAA, USA, ., OF, HAMILTON PROJECT, BROOKINGS, WASHINGTON D.C, ALBION, Fitch, AA, PRINCETON, NEW, ST LOUIS, MILLER & WASHINGTON LLC, ADVISORY, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: United States, U.S, MIZUHO, WASHINGTON, CITY , UTAH, STAMFORD , CONNECTICUT, NEW JERSEY, ATLANTA, CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA, BEACH , FLORIDA

The rate hike, which was in line market expectations, took the benchmark overnight interest rate to between 5.25% and 5.50% - the highest level since around the global financial crisis in 2007-2009. [1/3]Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 26, 2023. "Powell and the committee are taking a very data-dependent approach to future rate hikes," said Angelo Kourkafas, investment strategist at Edward Jones. U.S. Treasury yields slipped in choppy trading after the Fed's rate decision. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was down at 3.865%, while the two-year yield, which typically reflects interest rate expectations, fell to 4.8433%.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Lamar Villere, Villere, Brendan McDermid, Powell, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Chibuike Oguh, Sinead Carew, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: YORK, Global, Federal Reserve, Fed, Villere, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: New Orleans, Europe, Germany, France, New York City, U.S, New York

☆ Still-hawkish Fed pauses rate tightening after 10 straight hikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +13 min

While the market expected a hawkish pause, this is even a little bit more hawkish than market participants anticipated and that’s why you’re having a negative reaction in risk assets. So, it does suggest that the Fed is looking to tighten policy further, but the big question is can the Fed credibly commit to two more rate hikes if they just decided to actually hold rates steady. And what is the threshold for further rate hikes? “GEORGE YOUNG, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, VILLERE & CO, NEW ORLEANS"This a pregnant pause, meaning that they said they're going to pause hikes today but they're going to increase later. ANGELO KOURKAFAS, SENIOR INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, EDWARD JONES, ST LOUIS"We're seeing a more hawkish pause.

Persons: QUINCY KROSBY, Powell, He’s, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, ” ANDRZEJ SKIBA, ” GENNADIY GOLDBERG, they’ve, ” ELLEN HAZEN, Logan, Waller, “ GEORGE, ANGELO KOURKAFAS, EDWARD JONES, They've, MICHAEL BROWN, hawkishly, WHITNEY WATSON, GOLDMAN, “, STOVALL, ” PAUL NOLTE, MICHAEL JAMES Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve, Federal, U.S, RBC, CPI, PPI, Powell &, Cleveland Fed, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, CHARLOTTE, NC, WISCONSIN, WELLESLEY , MASSACHUSETTS, ORLEANS, GOLDMAN SACHS, Manheim, ALLENTOWN, CHICAGO

In theory, that should be welcome news for stocks and other so-called risk assets, which wilted under the barrage of hikes last year. Yet some investors worry this year's 6.5% rebound in the S&P 500 has made equities expensive. Many are also wary that the Fed's rate hikes may precipitate a recession later this year. Stocks fell on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 ending down 0.7%, after the Fed's latest policy decision in which the central bank also raised rates by 25 basis points, as markets expected. Friday's U.S. employment report and next week's consumer price index data may give investors a sense of how deeply the Fed's rate hikes have seeped into the economy.

☆ Key inflation data and earnings reports loom as labor market signals a slowing U.S. economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-06 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Fed officials have been pointing to the tight labor market as an area of concern for inflation, using it as evidence that it hasn't tightened rates enough. After months of strategists and investors complaining that earnings estimates are too high, they've started to fall — but with a catch. If the trough in earnings is close, then the stock market could be in for a big year. ET - Producer price index Friday: Earnings: UnitedHealth, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Citigroup, PNC Financial 8:30 a.m. ET - Fed H.8 data on assets and liabilities of U.S. commercial banks

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Resilient U.S. stocks failing to factor in recession, investors fear
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

NEW YORK, March 31 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks have soldiered on through a banking mess to notch solid first-quarter gains. Some investors say that performance could come under pressure if a widely expected recession hits. Wary investors say those gains leave stocks more vulnerable to an economic downturn, which may have been brought closer by tumult in the banking sector following this month’s collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. S&P 500 earnings for the first quarter are estimated to have fallen 5% from the prior year, followed by an expected 3.9% drop in the second quarter, Refinitiv data shows. Nathan Shetty, head of multi-asset at Nuveen, believes current valuations show investors have yet to price in a recession.

☆ TSX rises as domestic economy outperforms; Rogers slides
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( Johann M Cherian | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/2] A sign board displaying Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) stock information is seen in Toronto June 23, 2014. of 0.3%TSX up 0.6%March 31 (Reuters) - Canada's main stock index edged up on Friday as investor sentiment gained steam after data showed the domestic economy grew more than expected in January. A Statistics Canada report showed that the Canadian economy performed better-than-expected in January versus December, driven by broad gains in both goods and services industries. ET (1410 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) was up 130.39 points, or 0.65%, at 20,071.38. "The strength in January is consistent with an economy that remains resilient," said Angelo Kourkafas, investment strategist at Edward Jones Investments.

☆ Instant View: U.S. February CPI increase leaves market guessing on Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +9 min

Core CPI without food and energy prices increased 0.5% after rising 0.4% in January. Year over year core CPI gained 5.5% vs 5.6% in January. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast monthly CPI and core CPI up 0.4%. So they're going to have to respond to the banking crisis that's probably just not over yet." If the Fed’s worried about saving face or coming off as wishy washy or worried about losing credibility with the market, they're going to raise by 25 basis points.

☆ Wall St relieved after inflation data but warns Fed’s fight not over
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

February’s inflation report showed consumer prices rising by 0.4%, with a year-on-year increase of 6% - in line with analysts expectations, but far above the 2% rate the Fed hopes to achieve. The CPI report "was pretty much as expected. We're at a point of market anxiety where expected is good," said Rick Meckler, partner at Cherry Lane Investments. The CPI report was not all good news. The CPI report “wasn’t worse than expected,” he said.

☆ Analysis: U.S. bank loan plan provides Fed rate hike path amid SVB fallout
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Banks can use eligible government securities on their books like Treasuries and agency mortgage backed-debt to guarantee the loans. By comparison, a one-year loan from a Federal Home Loan Bank, a government state enterprise that provides low-cost lending to regional banks, is around 5.4%, according to market participants. In essence, the bank lending program will allow the Fed to keep raising rates." U.S. banks had raised their holdings of government securities during periods of ultra-low interest rates to defend falling interest net margins. Major banks led by Goldman Sachs (GS.N) and Barclays Bank (BARC.L) have called for a pause from the Fed next week.

☆ TSX set for worst week in five months as rate hike worries mount
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Johann M Cherian | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

ET (1527 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) was down 132.38 points, or 0.66%, at 19,954.34. The rate-sensitive financials sector (.SPTTFS) slumped 1.4% to a two-month low, while banks (.GSPTXBA) fell 1.3%. Across the border, U.S. stock indexes fell on a selloff in bank shares after SVB Financial's efforts to raise capital sparked worries about the sector's health. Among company news, Bank of Montreal (BMO.TO) shed 1.2% after it said it would acquire Loyalty Ventures' (LYLT.O) subsidiary's rewards program AIR MILES for an undisclosed amount. Loyalty Ventures fell 54.2% in U.S. trading.

☆ Stocks are reversing course as inflation looks sticky with more retail earnings on deck
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-24 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The optimism about inflation and the U.S. economy is quickly waning on Wall Street, and the early 2023 rally for stocks is fading. The market was under pressure again on Friday after a hotter-than-expected reading for personal consumption expenditures, sending rates higher and stocks lower. Economic updates Next week brings a new round of economic indicators to see how the sticky inflation is affecting consumers and business. Other looks at the economy will come through key earnings reports. Speech by Fed Governor Christopher Waller Friday: 9:45 a.m. Markit Services PMI 10:00 a.m. ISM Services PMI 3:00 p.m.

☆ Analysis: Rebounding yields could scuttle U.S. stock rally as Powell stays firm on rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The S&P 500 (.SPX) rose 1.3% along with a 6 basis points rise in the 10-year U.S. benchmark Treasury yield . yields vs stocksHigher bond yields dull the relative appeal of stocks while raising companies’ borrowing costs. Higher Treasury yields can also weaken the valuations of equities in standard valuation models, particularly for tech and other companies that rely on future profits that are discounted at higher rates when yields rise. Meanwhile, some investors are not yet worried about the threat to stocks from yields. Jacobsen is bullish on growth stocks, which were squashed by higher yields last year but have staged a strong rebound in 2023.

Wall Street's major indexes had lost ground immediately after the Fed announced its rate hike decision. After the press conference, money markets were betting on a terminal rate of 4.892% in June compared with bets for 4.92% just before the Fed's statement. U.S. futures were still pricing in rate cuts this year with the fed funds rate seen at 4.403% by the end of December, the same as before the meeting. The S&P 500 posted 24 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 136 new highs and 23 new lows. About 13.7 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 11.5 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.

☆ Stock futures are little changed as Wall Street looks to build on back-to-back gains
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-23 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures were largely flat on Monday evening as investors looked to continue a strong start to the week during a busy stretch of corporate earnings. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were each lower by less than 0.1%. The muted move in futures comes after a solid start to the week on Wall Street. The gains have come despite an underwhelming start to earnings season and more signs that the U.S. economy is slowing. On Tuesday, General Electric, Johnson & Johnson and Verizon are among the key companies reporting earnings before the bell.

FedEx Corp (FDX.N), which sparked a market selloff in September after pulling financial forecasts, provided financial guidance and announced plans for $1 billion cost cuts. Also, U.S. consumer confidence rose to an eight-month high in December as inflation retreated and the labor market remained strong while 12-month inflation expectations fell to 6.7%, the lowest since September 2021. It's been helped by upbeat corporate commentary and an improvement in consumer confidence," said Angelo Kourkafas, investment strategist at Edward Jones in St. Louis referring to Nike and FedEx. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 7, 2022. On U.S. exchanges 9.81 billion shares changed hands, compared with the 11.16 billion average for the last 20 sessions.

FedEx Corp (FDX.N), which sparked a market selloff in September after pulling financial forecasts, provided financial guidance and announced plans for $1 billion cost cuts. U.S. consumer confidence rose to an eight-month high in December as inflation retreated and the labor market remained strong while 12-month inflation expectations fell to 6.7%, the lowest since September 2021. It's been helped by upbeat corporate commentary and an improvement in consumer confidence," said Angelo Kourkafas, investment strategist at Edward Jones in St Louis referring to Nike and FedEx. The smallest gainer among the sectors was consumer staples (.SPLRCS) but it was still up 1%. The S&P 500 posted 5 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 49 new highs and 211 new lows.

☆ Commodity-linked stocks push TSX to fresh two-week highs
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-08 | by ( Shashwat Chauhan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/2] A sign board displaying Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) stock information is seen in Toronto June 23, 2014. ET (1540 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) was up 66.9 points, or 0.33%, at 20,040.12. The materials sector (.GSPTTMT), which includes miners of precious and base metals, climbed 0.8% on higher metal prices. "Given the magnitude of the rate hikes, they want some time to evaluate how that's going to impact the economy." Among single stocks, Parkland Corp (PKI.TO) gained 5.9% after the food and fuel retailer posted its 2023 outlook.

☆ Toronto market seen higher if economic downturn not too severe: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-29 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"If the downturn doesn't prove to be severe, equity markets could stabilize even as economic data and earnings underwhelm," said Angelo Kourkafas, an investment strategist at Edward Jones in St. Louis, Missouri. Canada's economy is likely to be particularly sensitive to higher rates after households borrowed heavily during the pandemic to participate in a red-hot housing market. "While corporate earnings will likely continue to decline for many industries, we see continued growth in earnings across most commodities," said Arthur Salzer, chief executive officer of Northland Wealth Management. Adding to investor enthusiasm, the TSX last Wednesday closed above the 200-day moving average for the first time since May 4. (Other stories from the Reuters global stock markets poll package:)Reporting by Fergal Smith; polling by Susobhan Sarkar and Sarupya GangulyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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